Tuesday, September 16, 2008

9/15 Polls

Yesterday's Polls, 9/15  from www.fivethirtyeight.com




Firstly, Obama has been polling a couple of points ahead of our trendline for the past couple days. That could be noise, or it could be a sign that the race is turning a bit. Our model inherently behaves conservatively, and assumes the former until "proven" otherwise.

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